Relatively strong post-recession employment growth is not a statistical anomaly, though only a small portion of the gain is coming from internet and telecommunications jobs. GDP is underestimated, but it is consistently biased, and the gig and free economies are too small to explain the productivity gap. Rather than blaming statistics, analytical effort is better spent determining the root causes for slow productivity growth.
Risk aversion, high unemployment, growth slowdowns, recessions, and geopolitical crises in key global economies are just a few of the factors holding back global growth. Overall, tighter financial conditions are leading to stock market corrections and a loss of confidence.
This week’s labor market reports were almost as bleak as the weather. If anyone was not aware or simply doubted that we have a big problem with a deteriorating productivity picture, then the report for the first quarter of 2016
Global Economy, Competitiveness, Economic Environment, Labor, Money & Finance, GDP
When discussing employment data, it is imperative to remember that manufacturing is more productive than other sectors. In my report, I note that it takes about 5.8 full-time equivalent manufacturing jobs to achieve $1 million in value-added, versus 7.7 for both transportation and services and 16.9 for retail trade.