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Posts

A New Normal for U.S. Manufacturing Growth?

Commentary
November 1, 2017
Cliff Waldman
Topic: 
Global Economy, Economic Environment

No one should be concerned that the Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) pulled back from an unrealistic 60.8% in September to a still strong 58.7% in October. The September reading from the Institute for Supply Management (ISM) has to be treated as an outlier and interpreted against the inevitable data distortions created by two devastating hurricanes. Hurricane Harvey, in particular, ravaged a manufacturing epicenter at a time when energy-related output is growing as a share of U.S. industrial output. ISM survey respondents in October noted weak business conditions and raw material shortages due to the hurricanes. The aftermath of these terrible storms is going to linger in the manufacturing picture for a while.

Celebration and Confusion at the Fed

Commentary
September 22, 2017
Cliff Waldman
Topic: 
Global Economy, Economic Environment

While serious threats to the economy have abated, no one is yet fully confident in the future. Again, the Fed punted on a chance to increase the target for its influential fed funds rate.

Manufacturers Respond to Catastrophic Hurricanes

Commentary
September 11, 2017
Maria Negron Kneib
Topic: 
Risk & Compliance, Corporate Security, Risk Management, Business Continuity Planning, Business Interruption Planning, Crisis Management, Risk Assessment & Planning

While the U.S. has seen two major hurricanes in the last two weeks, we are just halfway through hurricane season.

Are You Ready for the Next Big Cyber Attack?

Commentary
September 11, 2017
John Miller
Topic: 
Operations, Information Technology, IT Security, Risk & Compliance, Corporate Security

What went wrong? This is the question many people in the Equifax organization are asking today. How did hackers gain access to over 143 million U.S.

The Impact of Hurricane Harvey on the U.S. Manufacturing Outlook

Commentary
September 7, 2017
Cliff Waldman

As the flood waters recede and the long rebuilding process begins, it is important to assess the impact on the U.S. economy and the U.S. manufacturing sector. Policymakers need to minimize the downstream negative impacts from an already destructive event. Manufacturing executives need to readjust their business plans to account for a significant disruption. 

Troubling Signs Amidst Persistent Strength in Employment Numbers

Commentary
August 4, 2017
Cliff Waldman

Employment remains a star in an otherwise lackluster economic expansion. U.S. employer payrolls swelled by a strong 209,000 in July, and the unemployment rate fell a tick to 4.3 percent, remaining at a 16-year low.  Even with the sluggish GDP growth of recent quarters, it is clear that the U.S. economy is growing above its long-term, non-inflationary potential, creating a strong demand for labor even after eight years of economic recovery and expansion.   

Growing Reasons for U.S. Manufacturing Optimism

Commentary
August 1, 2017
Cliff Waldman

In spite of the modest drop in the Institute for Supply Management’s (ISM) widely-followed Purchasing Managers’ (PMI) Index, U.S. manufacturing growth remains on a path of considerable improvement. After reaching 57.8% in June, more than 3 percentage points above the current 12-month average, the PMI index slipped by 1.5 percentage points in July to a still strong 56.3%. Key survey indices such as new orders, production, and the backlog of orders remain in solid growth territory although they all fell modestly last month. 

A Good Day for U.S. Manufacturing and the U.S. Statistical System

Commentary
July 28, 2017
Cliff Waldman

I anticipated that the historical U.S. GDP revisions, which accompany the initial release of the second quarter GDP report and currently extend back to the first quarter of 2014, would make for some interesting analysis. What’s remarkable, however, is just how small the revisions are on the whole. The revised data in no way change the qualitative narrative of growth for a frustrating period in which U.S. manufacturing was all but stagnant. Score one for the reliability and stability of the U.S. economic data system.

The Era of Low Interest Rates Continues

Commentary
July 26, 2017
Cliff Waldman

The FOMC punted on another move and released a statement that smacks of trepidation on the sustainable strength of the U.S. economy. They acknowledge that job gains have been solid and that consumer spending and business fixed investment have continued to expand. The troubling point remains inflation, and they are quite concerned.

How to Proactively Manage Whistleblowing

Commentary
July 10, 2017
Maria Negron Kneib
Topic: 
Risk & Compliance, Ethics & Compliance, Corporate Compliance Practices

With whistleblower suits on the rise, increased CEO firings over ethical lapses, and National Whistleblower Appreciation Day falling on July 30, it’s an important time for companies to think about their corporate governance structures, whistleblower systems, and whistleblower investigation processes. Instead of looking at whistleblowing as harmful, companies should consider whistleblowing a safety valve and a sign of an engaged, ethical culture.

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Founded in 1933, the Manufacturers Alliance for Productivity and Innovation is a nonprofit organization that connects manufacturing leaders with the ideas they need to make smarter decisions. 

 

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